The Fat Pitch

We were interviewed by Cris Sheridan of  Financial Sense  on November 12th. During the interview we discuss the macro-economic environment, ...

We were interviewed on Real Vision Television on May 29th. During the interview, we discuss our long term equity market view, the current ma...

Summary : There are two seasonal patterns currently in play for investors: the weak "mid-term election cycle" and the weak "s...

Summary : The "summer months" start next week. The period from May through October is known as the "worst 6 months" of t...

Summary : Year 3 of the "Presidential Cycle" was expected to post a gain of over 20%. Instead, SPX is down 3% from a year ago. Why...

Patterns in the stock market primarily persist for a reason. For example, downtrends are frequently reversed on Tuesdays. Why? Spooked inv...

Bond yields are falling, as are commodity prices. Both NDX and RUT are starting December down more than 1%. Is a December swoon set to trigg...

If you even passively follow equity markets, chances are high you have already read a number of articles about "Year 3 of the President...

The end of the year is known for being seasonally strong. Even October, renowned as the month for exceptional drops, has recently been one o...

In a sign of how short investors' memories are, one of the newest memes is that equities are unlikely to be weak this summer because the...

Oil has a seasonal tendency to peak in September and trough in early December. The period for positive seasonality (green shading) is now cl...

The end of the "worst 6 months" in the stock market is upon us. Tomorrow is November 1, when seasonality turns positive. We last...

One of the axioms of Wall Street is 'sell in May and buy after Halloween'.  Mark Hulbert says that over the past 50 years, the Dow h...

The best six months of the year are November through April. April is particularly strong, with the Dow up more in April than any other month...

There are three data points you might want to consider before deciding to swing at that pitch. Short Side of Long (with a new publication ...

That's a Business Insider-type title. Have to grab you. We have been anticipating strong resistance between 1555 and 1575. SPX is n...

The strongest 6 months of the calendar run from November through April. November through January is traditionally the strongest 3 month stre...

Stock Trader's Almanac has this to say about February: Since 1950, January $SPX gains of 2% or more corrected or consolidated in Febr...

The strongest 6 months are from October to April. Within this period, the strongest three month stretch is November-January; the stretch we ...

A chart from Tom McClellan showing the DJIA 40 year cycle. Each point on the chart is compared to the period 40 years prior. According to t...