Friday, January 11, 2013
Summation Index Climbs Higher
One of the main reasons to remain optimistic on the market is that breadth continues to expand. Today, $NYSI (the McClellan Summation Index) closed above 700. As the chart below shows, when summation becomes oversold (below -500) and then climbs back above 500, market indices usually continue to climb higher. That is the current situation.
Investors Intelligence: Not Yet Hot
Investor Intelligence survey for this week shows increasing bullishness. The bulls minus bears (lower panel) is approaching 30, an area of two prior peaks in $SPX. Over 35 would be a cause for increased concern. Not yet.
Weekly Market Summary
This is the first post of a new weekly market summary.
Our overall view remains positive. Trend and breadth, the two most important factors, remain bullish. For the 7th week out of the last 8, a majority of indices and sectors closed week >13ema. This week: all 4 indices and 9 of 9 sectors as well $EEM, Euro 350, All World ex-US. Conversely, $TLT <13ema the last 7 weeks.
The main concern is sentiment; it's not hot, but getting warm.
Our overall view remains positive. Trend and breadth, the two most important factors, remain bullish. For the 7th week out of the last 8, a majority of indices and sectors closed week >13ema. This week: all 4 indices and 9 of 9 sectors as well $EEM, Euro 350, All World ex-US. Conversely, $TLT <13ema the last 7 weeks.
The main concern is sentiment; it's not hot, but getting warm.
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